Cadillac Championship
Trump National Doral (Blue Monster) · 72-player field
Model Rankings
| # | Player | AdjSG | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT | Win% | T10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | +2.35 | +0.66 | +0.79 | +0.45 | +0.46 | 11.8 | 53.9 |
| 2 | Young, Cameron | +1.60 | +0.60 | +0.39 | +0.23 | +0.38 | 5.1 | 34.0 |
| 3 | Henley, Russell | +1.43 | +0.26 | +0.52 | +0.38 | +0.27 | 2.1 | 24.9 |
| 4 | Morikawa, Collin | +1.38 | +0.41 | +0.81 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 1.8 | 23.4 |
| 5 | Matsuyama, Hideki | +1.30 | +0.03 | +0.65 | +0.38 | +0.24 | 2.2 | 21.7 |
| 6 | Kim, Si Woo | +1.26 | +0.51 | +0.52 | +0.23 | -0.00 | 2.2 | 24.2 |
| 7 | Rose, Justin | +1.19 | +0.17 | +0.55 | +0.18 | +0.29 | 3.8 | 24.9 |
| 8 | Fleetwood, Tommy | +1.17 | +0.30 | +0.39 | +0.23 | +0.25 | 3.7 | 24.0 |
| 9 | McNealy, Maverick | +1.13 | +0.31 | +0.06 | +0.27 | +0.49 | 1.9 | 20.1 |
| 10 | Burns, Sam | +1.10 | +0.21 | +0.28 | -0.04 | +0.66 | 2.4 | 22.1 |
| 11 | Gotterup, Chris | +1.06 | +0.52 | +0.22 | +0.12 | +0.20 | 2.0 | 21.7 |
| 12 | Bhatia, Akshay | +1.05 | +0.06 | +0.62 | -0.00 | +0.38 | 2.5 | 20.3 |
| 13 | Smalley, Alex | +1.01 | +0.32 | +0.33 | +0.13 | +0.23 | 1.9 | 17.3 |
| 14 | Hojgaard, Nicolai | +0.98 | +0.30 | +0.42 | +0.08 | +0.18 | 1.3 | 16.9 |
| 15 | Spaun, J.J. | +0.98 | +0.39 | +0.63 | +0.09 | -0.13 | 1.1 | 15.9 |
Top Contenders
Scheffler, Scottie
Scheffler is the overwhelming favorite this week, and for good reason — his adjusted SG of 2.354 leads the field by a significant margin, with elite contributions across every facet of the game. His approach play (0.794 SG APP) and ball-striking off the tee (0.655 SG OTT) are particularly well-suited for Doral's demanding layout, where length and precision into greens are premium. With a 53.9% Top 10 rate and near-perfect cut percentage, fading him at nearly 12% outright win equity is a tough sell.
Young, Cameron
**Cameron Young | Trump National Doral** Young's elite ball-striking package makes him a premier threat at Doral, where his +0.604 SG OTT and +0.393 SG APP give him the length and precision to attack this demanding layout. What separates him from other bombers is the complete profile — he's not leaking strokes anywhere, with positive contributions across all four SG categories including a reliable +0.379 SG PUTT. At 5.13% win probability and a 97.2% cut rate, Young is one of the safest high-upside plays on the board.
Henley, Russell
Henley enters Doral as a well-rounded value play, posting positive strokes gained across all four categories — a profile that holds up on any layout. His 0.521 SG APP is the engine of his game, and consistent ball-strikers who also save strokes on and around the greens (ARG: 0.377, PUTT: 0.267) tend to have high floors at demanding courses like the Blue Monster. With a 97.2% cut rate and nearly 25% top-10 probability, Henley is a low-variance contender worth prioritizing in your lineup.
First Round Leader
| Player | FRL% | Fair $ | Wave | R1 Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheffler, Scottie | 7.9% | 12.66 | AM | 10:50 |
| Rose, Justin | 4.6% | 21.74 | AM | 11:00 |
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 3.9% | 25.64 | PM | 14:15 |
| Young, Cameron | 3.9% | 25.64 | AM | 10:50 |
| Day, Jason | 3.2% | 31.25 | PM | 14:45 |
| Woodland, Gary | 2.8% | 35.71 | AM | 11:20 |
| Henley, Russell | 2.5% | 40.00 | PM | 13:40 |
| Straka, Sepp | 2.5% | 40.00 | AM | 10:25 |
| Bradley, Keegan | 2.3% | 43.48 | PM | 14:35 |
| Theegala, Sahith | 2.3% | 43.48 | AM | 09:10 |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 2.2% | 45.45 | AM | 10:35 |
| Thorbjornsen, Michael | 2.2% | 45.45 | PM | 13:30 |
| Hovland, Viktor | 2.1% | 47.62 | PM | 14:15 |
| Burns, Sam | 2.0% | 50.00 | PM | 13:50 |
| Blanchet, Chandler | 2.0% | 50.00 | PM | 12:45 |
Value Picks
| Player | Our Win% | Market $ | Edge | T10 Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose, Justin | 3.8% | 5001.00 | +3.79pp | +8.47pp |
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 3.7% | 5001.00 | +3.69pp | -1.54pp |
| Day, Jason | 2.7% | 5001.00 | +2.68pp | +6.48pp |
| Straka, Sepp | 2.7% | 1251.00 | +2.62pp | +3.78pp |
| Theegala, Sahith | 2.4% | 5001.00 | +2.38pp | -0.02pp |
| Burns, Sam | 2.4% | 5001.00 | +2.38pp | +2.50pp |
| Hovland, Viktor | 2.3% | 5001.00 | +2.28pp | -0.35pp |
| Woodland, Gary | 2.2% | 5001.00 | +2.18pp | +10.25pp |
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 2.2% | 5001.00 | +2.18pp | +0.15pp |
| Bradley, Keegan | 2.1% | 5001.00 | +2.08pp | +2.63pp |
| Henley, Russell | 2.1% | 2751.00 | +2.06pp | -1.38pp |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 2.5% | 203.26 | +2.01pp | +4.92pp |
| Gotterup, Chris | 2.0% | 5001.00 | +1.98pp | -0.23pp |
| Thorbjornsen, Michael | 1.9% | 5001.00 | +1.88pp | -0.16pp |
| McNealy, Maverick | 1.9% | 5001.00 | +1.88pp | -3.65pp |
The Call
SavvyPlays — Game Preview Card
Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 03 May
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice