Masters Tournament
Augusta National Golf Club · 89-player field
Model Rankings
| # | Player | AdjSG | OTT | APP | ARG | PUTT | Win% | T10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scheffler, Scottie | — | — | — | — | — | 8.7 | 43.0 |
| 2 | Schauffele, Xander | — | — | — | — | — | 6.3 | 34.7 |
| 3 | Aberg, Ludvig | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 29.2 |
| 4 | DeChambeau, Bryson | — | — | — | — | — | 4.8 | 27.1 |
| 5 | Rose, Justin | — | — | — | — | — | 3.5 | 23.6 |
| 6 | Rahm, Jon | — | — | — | — | — | 3.3 | 26.5 |
| 7 | Hojgaard, Nicolai | — | — | — | — | — | 2.8 | 23.7 |
| 8 | McIlroy, Rory | — | — | — | — | — | 2.7 | 23.6 |
| 9 | Morikawa, Collin | — | — | — | — | — | 2.6 | 22.7 |
| 10 | Fitzpatrick, Matt | — | — | — | — | — | 2.4 | 23.3 |
| 11 | Knapp, Jake | — | — | — | — | — | 2.3 | 23.6 |
| 12 | Bhatia, Akshay | — | — | — | — | — | 2.3 | 18.6 |
| 13 | Conners, Corey | — | — | — | — | — | 2.2 | 17.3 |
| 14 | Gotterup, Chris | — | — | — | — | — | 2.0 | 18.4 |
| 15 | Fleetwood, Tommy | — | — | — | — | — | 2.0 | 19.3 |
Top Contenders
Scheffler, Scottie
Scheffler enters Augusta as the clear favorite at 8.7% to win — nearly double most of the field — backed by a 43% Top 10 probability that underscores his elite floor. The reigning world No. 1 has the all-around ball-striking game that Augusta demands, and the model sees him as the most likely name on the trophy Sunday.
Schauffele, Xander
Schauffele owns a 6.3% win probability at Augusta — elite territory at a course that demands the precise ball-striking and clutch putting he consistently delivers. With a 34.7% Top 10 probability, the model sees him as a near-lock to contend deep into the weekend. If he finally breaks through at a major, Augusta sets up as the most likely venue.
Aberg, Ludvig
Ludvig Åberg enters Augusta with a 5.5% win probability — elite territory that puts him firmly in the top tier of contenders this week. His 29.2% Top 10 rate signals consistent scoring upside on a course that demands the kind of precise ball-striking and length off the tee that defines his game. At his price, Åberg represents one of the highest-ceiling plays in the field.
Value Picks
| Player | Our Win% | Market $ | Edge | T10 Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hojgaard, Nicolai | 2.8% | 81.00 | +1.59pp | +6.92pp |
| Conners, Corey | 2.2% | 127.26 | +1.41pp | +7.87pp |
| Knapp, Jake | 2.3% | 89.58 | +1.17pp | +6.01pp |
| Bhatia, Akshay | 2.3% | 84.57 | +1.07pp | +2.20pp |
| Schauffele, Xander | 6.3% | 19.00 | +1.01pp | +3.34pp |
| Rose, Justin | 3.5% | 39.53 | +0.97pp | +12.55pp |
| McNealy, Maverick | 1.9% | 101.00 | +0.95pp | -1.29pp |
| Kim, Michael | 1.1% | 351.00 | +0.86pp | +4.76pp |
| Bradley, Keegan | 1.2% | 301.00 | +0.83pp | +3.35pp |
| Hatton, Tyrrell | 1.6% | 121.61 | +0.83pp | +6.54pp |
| Gotterup, Chris | 2.0% | 76.57 | +0.74pp | +2.38pp |
| Keefer, Johnny | 0.9% | 501.00 | +0.70pp | +4.89pp |
| Woodland, Gary | 1.2% | 186.66 | +0.66pp | +5.63pp |
| Reitan, Kristoffer | 0.9% | 351.00 | +0.63pp | +1.81pp |
| Aberg, Ludvig | 5.5% | 20.61 | +0.60pp | -0.03pp |
| Gerard, Ryan | 1.1% | 201.00 | +0.58pp | -1.59pp |
| Hall, Harry | 0.9% | 301.00 | +0.52pp | +2.44pp |
| Griffin, Ben | 1.0% | 207.23 | +0.50pp | +0.87pp |
| Mckibbin , Tom | 0.7% | 501.00 | +0.46pp | +5.87pp |
| Homa, Max | 0.8% | 301.77 | +0.42pp | +3.30pp |
| Watson, Bubba | 0.5% | 751.00 | +0.41pp | +4.42pp |
| Berger, Daniel | 0.8% | 220.86 | +0.39pp | +1.35pp |
| Neergaard-Petersen, Rasmus | 0.5% | 501.00 | +0.31pp | +3.58pp |
| Im, Sungjae | 0.9% | 181.60 | +0.30pp | +5.02pp |
SavvyPlays — Game Preview Card
Stats sourced from official league data & partner APIs · Generated 07 Apr
For informational purposes only · Not gambling advice