Carlton v West Coast
Carlton 5–0 in H2H, avg margin +70. West Coast 4–10. Squiggle 83.2% confidence. Strong tip: Carlton by 30.
SavvyPlays · 25 June 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Saturday 27 June · 1:15PM AEST
Carlton have won the last five H2H meetings against West Coast by an average of 70 points. The margins: 34, 71, 65, 71, and 108. West Coast are 4–10 and 1–6 away. The Squiggle consensus is unanimous at 83.2% confidence — the second-highest of any match this round.
SavvyPlays Tip — Strong
01Carlton by 30
The H2H record is staggering: Carlton have won the last five meetings by 34, 71, 65, 71, and 108 points. That’s a combined margin of 349 points across five games — an average of 70 per match. This is one of the most one-sided matchups in the AFL.
Carlton are on a 4-game winning streak (Geelong +4, Essendon +5, and GWS +23 away). West Coast are 4–10 with a 1–6 away record. The Eagles’ only away win was Richmond by 11 in R8.
Unanimous Squiggle consensus: 29/29 Carlton at 83.2% confidence with an average margin of +33.2. We’re at +30, slightly below the model average, because Carlton’s season record (6–7) isn’t elite. But the H2H domination makes this a Strong tip.
Data & Methodology
Team records sourced from AFL Tables. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au. All figures verified as of 25 June 2026.
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