Round 16 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

Fremantle v Gold Coast

Fremantle 13–1, 6–0 at home. Gold Coast 1–5 away, 3 straight losses. Strong tip: Fremantle by 25.

SavvyPlays · 25 June 2026 · Optus Stadium, Perth · Sunday 28 June · 5:10PM AWST

Fremantle are 13–1 — the best record in the AFL — and 6–0 at Optus Stadium. Gold Coast are 6–7 with a 1–5 away record and have lost three straight. 28 of 29 models tip Fremantle at 75.3% confidence. This is the most predictable home game of the round.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01Fremantle by 25

Fremantle’s 13–1 record is extraordinary. They’re 6–0 at Optus Stadium with an average home winning margin well above 30 points. Their only loss all season was to Geelong in R1. Since then: 13 straight wins.

Gold Coast are on a 3-game losing streak: Brisbane by 31 (R13), Geelong by 45 (R14), and Hawthorn by 16 (R15). Their away record of 1–5 is among the worst in the competition. Travelling to Perth against the best team in the AFL is a bridge too far.

The H2H slightly favours Fremantle 3–2 in the last five meetings. 28 of 29 Squiggle models tip Fremantle at 75.3% confidence with a +24.2 average margin. We agree at +25.

13–1

Fremantle Season

6–7

Gold Coast Season

6–0

Fremantle Home

1–5

Gold Coast Away

GC Streak

28/29 Freo

Squiggle

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au. All figures verified as of 25 June 2026.