Greater Western Sydney v Fremantle
Fremantle 14–1, best in the AFL. GWS 5–9 at Manuka Oval (not home fortress). Strong tip: Fremantle by 15.
SavvyPlays · 2 July 2026 · Manuka Oval, Canberra · Saturday 4 July · 1:35PM AEST
Fremantle are 14–1 — the best record in the AFL by a country mile. GWS are 5–9 and playing at Manuka Oval in Canberra, not their usual Sydney Showground fortress. 25 of 27 models tip Fremantle at 67.7% confidence.
SavvyPlays Tip — Strong
01Fremantle by 15
Fremantle have won 14 of 15 games including their last two: Geelong by 9 (R15, home) and Gold Coast by 34 (R16, home). At 14–1 they’re on track for one of the best seasons in AFL history.
GWS are 5–9 and have lost three of their last four. Crucially, this game is at Manuka Oval in Canberra — not Sydney Showground where they’re 4–2. GWS’s home advantage is significantly reduced at this venue.
25 of 27 Squiggle models tip Fremantle at 67.7% with a +14.6 margin. We’re at +15. The Dockers are too good for a struggling GWS at a secondary venue.
Data & Methodology
Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from afl.com.au/zerohanger.com. All figures verified as of 2 July 2026.
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