Round 18 Preview — 2026 AFL SeasonAFL Analytics

St Kilda v Port Adelaide

Port 4–12, 2–6 away. St Kilda 6–8. Unanimous 27/27, 73.2%. Strong tip: St Kilda by 20.

SavvyPlays · 9 July 2026 · Marvel Stadium · Saturday 11 July · 1:15PM AEST

Port Adelaide are 4–12 and 2–6 away — one of the worst travelling records in the AFL. St Kilda are 6–8 and 3–3 at home. All 27 Squiggle models tip St Kilda at 73.2% confidence with a +22.7 margin.

SavvyPlays Tip — Strong

01St Kilda by 20

Port Adelaide’s season has gone from bad to worse. At 4–12 they’re the third-worst team in the competition and 2–6 away. St Kilda at 6–8 aren’t spectacular but they’re significantly better and playing at home.

The H2H slightly favours Port 3–2 in the last five, but that’s meaningless given the current trajectory. Port have lost 8 of their last 10.

Unanimous consensus: 27/27 St Kilda at 73.2% with +22.7 margin. We’re at +20.

6–8
St Kilda Season
4–12
Port Season
2–6
Port Away
27/27 Saints
Squiggle
73.2%
Confidence

Data & Methodology

Team records sourced from AFL Tables with exact team ID matching. Model consensus from Squiggle API. Kickoff times verified from zerohanger.com. All figures verified as of 9 July 2026.

SavvyPlays — AFL Analytics · © 2026